Friday, February 24, 2012

The Year of the Road Team


Wayne Tinkle's Montana Grizzlies finished 7-1 in conference road games this season.

Seven games remain in the Big Sky Conference men's basketball regular-season. History says at least four home teams should win those seven remaining games. Problem is this year's Big Sky basketball teams haven't fallen in line with history when it comes to winning conference home games.

Entering the final seven games, home teams have won 32 of the 65 games. That's below 50 percent. We've been able to dig through 33 seasons of Big Sky men's basketball play, and found that road teams have never had this much success in conference play.

We've found just five previous seasons dating back to 1979-80 where home teams won less than than 60 percent of the conference games. The previous low was 56.9 percent during the 1987-88 season.

Even if home teams win the final seven games of the season, the home winning percentage this season will be 54.2 percent.

Two reasons to explain the road success has been the play of Montana and Weber State. Montana finished league play with a 7-1 road record, while Weber State is 6-1 heading into its finale on Tuesday at Montana. Those two teams are a combined 13-2 on the road, also they are a combined 14-0 in conference home games.

Some other odd statistics, Portland State finished 5-3 in road league games. The Vikings didn't win a non-conference road game this season. They currently stand at 3-3 in conference home games. The Vikings didn't lose a home non-conference game.

Northern Colorado went 8-0 in conference home games last season. The Bears went 3-5 at home in league play this season.

Heading into the final seven games, EWU, ISU, MSU, NC, SAC and NAU are all under .500 in conference home games. EWU, ISU and MSU can all finish 4-4 with wins in their home finales. Portland State can still get to 5-3 in home games.

Northern Arizona is the lone conference team without two road victories. The Lumberjacks are 0-7 entering their final game on Monday at Montana State.

If this trend holds up, it could be a very interesting final four days of the regular season.

Conference Home Records from 1979-2012


               W L Pct.

2011-12 32 33 .492

2010-11 50 22 .694

2009-10 47 25 .653

2008-09 48 24 .667

2007-08 47 25 .653

2006-07 43 29 .597

2005-06 35 21 .625

2004-05 42 14 .750

2003-04 32 24 .571

2002-03 35 21 .625

2001-02 34 22 .607

2000-01 48 24 .667

1999-00 46 26 .639

1998-99 48 24 .667

1997-98 49 23 .681

1996-97 46 26 .639

1995-96 37 19 .661

1994-95 33 23 .589

1993-94 35 21 .625

1992-93 35 21 .625

1991-92 49 23 .680

1990-91 46 26 .639

1989-90 49 23 .680

1988-89 46 26 .639

1987-88 41 31 .569

1986-87 39 17 .696

1985-86 43 13 .767

1984-85 38 18 .679

1983-84 38 18 .679

1982-83 36 20 .643

1981-82 35 21 .625

1980-81 33 23 .589

1979-80 35 21 .625

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Countdown Is On

Montana's Will Cherry (5) guards Weber State's Damian Lillard in the first matchup between the Grizzlies and Wildcats this season.
A week from tonight Montana and Weber State square off in Missoula, Mont., in Big Sky Conference men's basketball.

If both teams take care of business this week, the Montana-Weber State will be a winner-take-all showdown on the final night of the regular-season championship and the right to host the 2012 Big Sky Conference Championship.

The Wildcats and Grizzlies have work to do this week to make stakes are as high as possible next Tuesday night. Montana plays host to Northern Arizona on Wednesday, before arch-rival Montana State visits Dahlberg Arena on Saturday. Northern Arizona is in the midst of a 14-game losing streak, and the Grizzlies thumped the Lumberjacks 78-53 earlier this season in Flagstaff. Montana State has lost seven straight and is fighting for a postseason bid. Neither the Lumberjacks nor the Bobcats will lay down for Montana.

Weber State treks to Greeley, Colo., to face the defending champion Bears. Northern Colorado's postseason hopes are slim, and a loss would all but knock B.J. Hill's team out of contention. But, the Bears are young and dangerous. No team in Division I makes 3-pointers at a higher percentage. Expect the Bears to fight tooth-and-nail with Weber State.

Assuming Montana wins its two games this week, and Weber State takes care of business against Northern Colorado, the stage will be set for one of the most anticipated regular-season games in Big Sky history.

It will mark the first time in league history that two-one loss conference teams are playing on the final night of the regular season for the outright championship. Both teams are ranked in the Mid-Major Top 25. Weber State is 15th, and Montana is 18th. Montana would enter riding an 11-game winning streak. Weber State would enter with an eight-game winning streak.  Both teams have already won 20 games.
Oh, and the game will be televised live on Altitude Sports & Entertainment. Hopefully, Dahlberg Arena will be sold out. If you can't get in the arena, it will be "MUST WATCH TV.''


The game will feature Weber State junior Damian Lillard of Oakland, Calif., going head-to-head for maybe the final time with Montana's Will Cherry, from West Oakland. Lillard is a sure-fire NBA Draft pick. He's spent most of the season as the nation's leading scorer with a throng of NBA scouts following his every move. Cherry is the daredevil point guard, who is on pace to finish his career as the Big Sky's all-time leader in steals.

Weber State leads the Big Sky in scoring, and is one of the top 3-point shooting teams in the nation. Montana is known for it's tough 2-3 matchup zone defense, leading the Big Sky in scoring defense.

Weber State features grizzled veterans like Darin Mahoney and Kyle Bullinger, not to mention All-Conference guard Scott Bamforth, and instant offense Byron Fulton off the bench.

The Griz feature an up-and-coming star in sophomore Kareem Jamar, who recorded a triple-double last week in a win over Hawai'i. Montana also has a senior veteran Derek Selvig, who can be a difference maker with his 7-foot frame and his ability to pass, get rebounds, and hit the 3-point shot. Senior forward Art Steward has been great in league play, as has center Mathias Ward.

Weber State won the first meeting 80-64 in Ogden on Jan. 14. Lillard and Bamforth combined for 36 points. Cherry and Jamar combined for 26. The Grizzlies shot just 38.5 percent from the floor.

Some I've spoken with believe Montana's starting five has more talent than Weber, but the Wildcats have more depth.

Montana hasn't hosted the Big Sky Championship in 12 years. That season, Montana beat Eastern Washington 77-75 on the final night of the regular season to forge a tie at 12-4 with the Eagles for first place. Montana won the tiebreaker.

A year earlier, Weber State beat second-place Northern Arizona 77-57 to win the outright title. Both teams were 12-3 entering that final regular-season game.

Those are only previous times in conference history that the top two teams met on the final night of the regular season for the right to host the conference tournament.

Also, Weber State and Montana are on the verge of finishing with a combined three conference losses, which would set a record. The previous best was four.

If that happens, the top two teams in the conference will finish with a combined three conference losses. That has never happened. Four is the previous record. Gonzaga and Weber State each went 8-2 in 1965-66. In 1968-69, Weber State finished 15-0, while Montana State was 11-4. In a season with six conference games, the previous best for combined losses by the top two teams is five. In 1991-92, Montana was 14-2 and Nevada was 13-3.


Jon Kasper - Big Sky Conference

Friday, February 3, 2012

Two for 40

Weber State's Damian Lillard, left, scored 40 points last night, while Montana State's Katie Bussey, right, scored 41.
Imagine the surprise on Damian Lillard's face when he was notified after a 40-point outburst that another player in the Big Sky Conference scored more points Thursday night.

"What?, Who?" Lillard asked.

When he found out Montana State's Katie Bussey scored 41 in a women's game about a 140 miles up I-15 in Pocatello, he thought it was cool.

Bussey tied the Big Sky women's single-game scoring record with 41 points as Montana State handed Idaho State its first conference loss with a 79-67 overtime win over the Bengals.

Lillard fell just one short of his career-high, netting 40 in a 92-79 home win over Portland State.

It marked the first time in Big Sky Conference history that a men's and women's basketball player each scored 40 points on the same night.

Bussey became just the fifth women's player in league history to score 40. She tied the single-game record with Montana's Shannon Cate and Portland State's Kelsey Kahle. Cate netted 41 on Feb. 23, 1991 against Weber State. Kahle scored 41 on Jan. 25, 2007, against Sacramento State. Edneisha Curry of Cal State Northridge scored 40 against Loyola Marymount on Dec. 1, 1998. Montana State's Cass Bauer scored 40 against Idaho on Jan. 14, 1994.

Lillard's 40-point outburst doesn't even rank in the top 30 in Big Sky men's single-game history. The all-time record is 53 set by Idaho State's Willie Humes, who also had two 51-point games, a 49-point game, a 48-point game, a 46-point game, a 45-point game, and two 42-point games. Humes averaged 31.5 points per game over two seasons at Idaho State in an era of no shot clocks and no 3-point shots. Some of Humes' amazing scoring games were played in Reed Gym, the same venue Bussey scored 41 Thursday night.

On Thursday, Lillard finished 13-of-18 from the field and  was 8-of-10 from the free-throw line. Lillard connected on his first six 3-point attempts, and finished 6-of-8 from beyond the arc. Lillard was two shy of tying the all-time Dee Events Center scoring record of 42 points. That record was set in March of 2010 when Montana's Anthony Johnson thrilled America as he led the Griz back from a 20-point deficit to beat Weber State in the Big Sky Conference Championship on ESPN2.

Bussey made 11-of-23 shots from the floor and was 15-of-18 from the free-throw line. She made 4-of-7 shots from 3-point range. Bussey scored six of her 41 in overtime.

Earlier this season, Lillard scored a career-high 41 points in a two-overtime win over San Jose State. Lillard is the only men's player in America to have two 40-point games this season.

We're not exactly sure how close a men's and women's basketball player have come to scoring 40 points on the same night before, because we can't find all of the box scores from some of the older seasons, nor do we have a complete list of all the 40-point men's games. We were, however, able to verify the 40-40 has never been accomplished before.

On the night Kahle scored 41 points for Portland State, current NBA player Rodney Stuckey scored 31 points for Eastern Washington in a 100-85 win over Sacramento State.

Jon Kasper - Big Sky Conference

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

A Look Back at the 2007 Signing Day Classes

Conner Kavanaugh, left, and Drew Hubel, right, were both part of Portland State's 2007 recruiting class.

It is the one day where the fax machine is still relevant. Athletic departments across the nation will dust off the old fax machine, make sure there is plenty of paper, and have someone on alert in case of a paper jam.

ESPNU will devote an entire day to live coverage. Not sure if they’ll plant a camera on a fax machine or not.

Many .com sites will proclaim some recruiting classes as the best ever. The same .com sites will trash another institution’s class.

Welcome to National Signing Day 2012, the day when college football recruits across the nation can officially sign a National Letter of Intent.

Many believe it is one of the most over-hyped days of the year. Yes, it’s a chance to get fans and alumni excited for the upcoming season. But, statistics show roughly half of the players who sign on Wednesday won’t pan out. Some will never attend school, some will leave a couple of years from now. Only a handful will remain and become key players.

So, it’s time to take our annual look back at recruiting classes from five years ago. These are the players who were able to redshirt and play for four years.

Eastern Washington, the 2010 Division I National Champion, listed 18 high school athletes in its 2007 signing-day class. Turns out, it was a pretty good class. Taiwan Jones, who left school early and is now with the Oakland Raiders, was part of that class, as was All-American safety Matt Johnson and his twin brother Zach Johnson. Unfortunately, both had their careers cut short due to injury.

All-American defensive tackle Renard Williams, also signed in that class, along with All-American center Chris Powers. Powers, however, was listed as a defensive lineman when he signed. Wide receiver Tyler Hart and defensive back Joshua McOmber were also solid players from that class.

Idaho State inked 15 prep players in 2007. By our count, just four were on the roster at the start of the 2011 season. J.T. Albers, who amassed 85 tackles this past season, was the best of the bunch. The class included quarterback Mike Davenport and Evan Mozzochi, who appeared in four games in 2009. Davenport went on an LDS Mission, and we’re not sure if he ended up playing at all at another school.

Montana advanced to the FCS semifinals, won 11 games and a share of the Big Sky championship in 2011. The Grizzlies had nine senior starters on defense. You’d think the 2007 recruiting class, then, was phenomenal. Not the case at all. Montana signed just six high school players. Defensive end Ryan Fetherston was the only player who started on this year’s defense. In fact, he was the only one of the six who was a major impact player at his recruited position. Cornerback DeAngelo Starr was supposed to be the marquee signee. He never played for Montana.

Montana State enjoyed a very solid 2007 recruiting class. This class signed just months before Mike Kramer was let go at Montana State’s coach. It’s a credit to current coach Rob Ash that these players stuck around and became stars. Often times when there is a coaching change, there is a plethora of roster changes. MSU’s class included linebacker Clay Bignell, offensive linemen Conrad Burbank and Alex Terrien, tight end Shane Robison and linebacker Casey Dennehy. It also included defensive tackle Dan Ogden and safety Jordan Craney, who both finished play in 2010.

Northern Arizona signed 21 prep players in 2007. Among those was stalwart defensive end Isaac Bond, offensive tackle Alex Mott and guard Kris Poindexter, who exhausted his eligibility in 2010. Tight end Brian Riley and fullback Vinnie Paciulli also were part of the class. Paciulli was signed as a nose tackle. Unfortunately, the class also included a number of players who never materialized.

Northern Colorado had just completed its first season of play in the Big Sky when Scott Downing signed the 2007 recruiting class. The class consisted of 16 Colorado high school football players. Defensive lineman Amal Gumbs, safety Max Hewitt, defensive back Chuks Nweke Jr., quarterback Dylan Orms and offensive lineman Alex Shapiro ended up being the top players.

Then-Portland State coach Jerry Glanville signed 14 prep players in 2007. This class was interesting in the fact that it produced two players who ended up being very good quarterbacks. Drew Hubel, who shined in the run-and-shoot offense throwing for 623 yards in one game, and nine touchdown passes in another. The class also included Connor Kavanaugh, who took over when Nigel Burton brought in the pistol offense. Kavanaugh rushed for more yards than any QB in Big Sky history. The class also included DeShawn Shead, a four-year starter in the defensive backfield.
Sacramento State inked nine players in 2007. Of the nine just two became star players, but they were big stars. All-American and Buck Buchanan Award candidate Zack Nash inked that day, as did running back Bryan Hilliard. Nash finished his career with 29.5 sacks and 40.5 tackles for loss. Hilliard rushed for 3,451 yards and 38 touchdowns.

Weber State inked 20 prep players in 2007. The gem ended up being four-year starter J.C. Oram, who anchored the Wildcats’ offensive line garnering numerous All-America and All-Conference honors during his career. The class also included the likes of Tim Farabee, tight end Brian Jankowski, Caleb Turner and Taylor Sedillo. Sedillo was signed as a running back. He finished his career in 2010 as a linebacker.

So, good luck to your schools today – and that includes our new schools Cal Poly, UC Davis, North Dakota and Southern Utah. The FCS season hasn’t even been over for a month, and yet fall camps will open in about six months.

Jon Kasper - Big Sky Conference